Stability, Marketshare & Appreciation


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Fees, lending ratios (PLFs), and market growth

The following commentary does not represent the official position of Reverse Focus, Inc.

balancing_actSince the housing and economic crash nearly 10 years ago our industry has valiantly labored to not only increase reverse mortgage acceptance and loan volume but also adapt to a plethora of new regulations and HECM program reforms. The real test of our industry and the Home Equity Conversion Mortgage is to balance the need to reduce program risks while ensuring the HECM remains accessible to older homeowners.

On one side many originators cite the two biggest challenges to increased acceptance as high upfront costs and reduced principal limit factors or lending ratios. On the other side, HUD faces the task of taking measured steps to reduce the likelihood of HECM loans resulting in an insurance claim or payout. Recent reports showing increased ‘losses’ in the program have resulted in significant HECM cutbacks in recent years. The tension lies between increasing accessibility to the HECM while successfully managing the risks to the FHA insurance fund which has backed the program since 2009.

Earlier this month the Brookings Institution (a Washington D.C. think tank) advocated for a ‘reformed’ reverse mortgage. Their proposed reform? Offer reduced FHA insurance premiums for low-risk borrowers utilizing fewer funds- in essence, a return of the HECM Saver. The study as covered in Reverse Mortgage Daily elicited a slew of comments-many which took exception to the study’s conclusions. Perhaps overlooked was the Brookings Institution’s outright support of the HECM program.

Beyond the debate or reintroducing a Saver product lies the question- what will increase acceptance of the federally-insured reverse mortgage?

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Rate hike, equity sharing, divorce, and family loans


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Despite challenges there is reason for measured optimism

HECM originators in the state of Connecticut have their own October surprise.  The state’s governor signed into law Senate Bill 150 which goes into effect October 1st, 2018. It requires that prospective borrowers receive HECM counseling and provide a certificate of completion to the lender before any final and complete application is accepted. Good record keeping is essential as Connecticut HECM lenders must keep the counseling certificate for ‘the term of the reverse annuity mortgage loan’. An interesting choice of words. Any violation of the new law will be considered an unfair or deceptive trade practice. Our friends in Connecticut will want to mark their calendars.

reverse mortgage newsDivorce is perhaps one of the most devastating events for one’s retirement. A recent column at PlanSponsor.com cites a study by the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College that shows the net worth of non-divorced households is about 30% higher than divorced households. Those at risk of being unprepared as measured by the Retirement Risk Index rises 6 percentage points for divorced men but is statistically insignificant for divorced women. One reason given for this difference is that single women are more likely to own a house which they can use for a reverse mortgage according to the study. Perhaps now is a good time to consult with your local family law attorneys on how the HECM can help mitigate the impacts of divorce.

More homeowners are making peace with appreciation sharing loans. A MarketWatch column last week tells the story of Mike Lindsay, an Orange County widower who found himself devastated with medical bills and childcare costs in the wake of his wife’s death. His surest bet turned out to be his house. Unable to refinance his home which was valued at $1.2 million he turned to Unison. The company offered Lindsay $200,000 in exchange for a share of the future appreciation of his home as part of its HomeOwner program. Karen Kaul with the Urban Institute who has discussed reverse mortgages reverse mortgage on several occasions said “it’s good to see people experiment with this. I hope this eventually takes off.” He did add his specific concerns about the lack of consumer protection in such arrangements. The question is, will more senior homeowners find such an arrangement an attractive alternative to a reverse mortgage?

We often hear financial pundits espousing the pitfalls of a reverse mortgage, but few explain the risks of loaning your elderly parents money to stay in their home. The Pittsburgh Post Gazette  featured two elder law attorneys who cautioned readers of the risks involved when lending money to parents- namely being an ‘unsecured creditor’ This means if their parents receive any state assistance for nursing or homeware services the kids risk not being repaid as the state’s lien takes precedence.  What’s a better approach? “Parent and son could have entered into a simple loan documentation agreement whereby parent signs a note for the loan tied to a mortgage which secures the debt to the parent’s home. Result under this improved arrangement: son gets $100,000, state gets whatever is left after that.”

In our last story, the Federal Reserve has raised their 2018 economic outlook forecasting a median real GDP of 2.8 percent for the year and consequently increasing rates. The Fed raised it short term rate a quarter of a percentage point to 2% and hinted at two more hikes which would bring the total of four interest rate increases in 2018. Watch your rate sheets closely in the coming weeks and months.

 

A Time for Measured Optimism?


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Despite challenges there is reason for measured optimism

reverse mortgage newsIf you’ve been originating reverse mortgages for longer than a few weeks or paying attention to recent developments you’ve probably felt the impact of our collective dependence on a singulargovernment-insured loan and heard the dire warnings of a continued decline in loan volume. But not unlike most drastic proclamations of doom and gloom the truth lies between the extremes.

All which brings us to the question- is the reverse mortgage or HECM market in a continued downward trajectory? The number of FHA case number assignments issued for new HECM applications serves as an accurate leading indicator of consumer interest in the loan. The average number of HECM case numbers issued in both 2016-17 averaged nearly 7,000 per month.  Predictably case numbers plummeted after last September’s rush to beat October 2nd HECM cutbacks in the wake of a record 20,408 new applications. Yet despite this aberration today application volume is steadily climbing an average of 9 percent in the first 3 reported months of 2018. Interestingly, if that trend were to continue

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Uncertainty, Hope & Expectations


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Despite challenges there is reason for measured optimism

While we are seeing positive indicators in the reverse mortgage industry such as Mutual of Omaha’s recent entry into the market, many are concerned in light of significant declines in loan volume following HUD’s October changes to the Home Equity Conversion Mortgage. What is a realistic outlook for the HECM marketplace? What potential changes should we be mindful of?

Ironically with more American’s lacking adequate funds to retire the federally-insured reverse mortgage’s popularity has plummeted. Realistically, barring any further significant changes, we should anticipate slow but steady growth in the short term. In the short term, we can anticipate further consolidation. One significant and positive sign is the confirmation of Brian Montgomery as FHA Commissioner. Most notable is Montgomery’s support of moving the HECM out of FHA’s MMI Fund and back into the General Insurance/Special Risk Fund. This is key as each fund is treated differently when it comes to accounting and appropriations…

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Meeting Before Age 62


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How some are surviving or thriving in a down HECM market

“It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future”, said baseball great Yogi Berra. Prognostications as how the reverse mortgage industry will recover and grow are often fall flat. An Industry initiative called “The Extreme Summit” set their sights high aiming to increase annual HECM endorsements from 50,000 to 300,000 units by 2018.  The group was comprised of several industry CEO’s, many who in a secret ballot committed to financially back the effort investing $30-150 million over five years. While this was a laudable goal the initiative could never anticipate the headwinds that would soon befall the industry. Despite these challenges one wind of change blows at our backs and could help increase adoption of the Home Equity Conversion Mortgage in the years to come.

Last Thursday USA Today reported that more seniors 75 and older are carrying debt into retirement. This is a far cry from the borrowers many of us met with a decade ago who typically had few if any debts, yet found themselves house-rich and cash-poor. “We’ve seen instances of seniors foregoing required medications … because they can’t afford it,” said Lori Lucas, president and CEO of the Employee Benefit Research Institute. “More seniors are carrying debt into retirement than ever before.” While lower than their younger counterparts, the median debt carried by those 75 and older is $20,900.  The Employee Benefit Research Institute reports that nearly half of retirees in this group have outstanding loans. The most significant increases of those carrying debt are among the lower-income seniors.

This trend comes as no surprise as our oldest Americans find themselves squeezed between the forces of…

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Senators Vow to Block All Nominees


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A long-term perspective of HECM endorsement volume

Our nation’s capital is often referred to as the swamp in part for its political factions, bureaucratic battles and interagency turf wars. Recently two U.S. senators recently vowed to block any nominees for several key vacancies at the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Senators Tammy Duckworth and Dick Durbin-both Democrats- vowed to put a hold on all HUD nominees, including the appointment of Brian Montgomery as Commissioner of the Federal Housing Administration. The Senators sent a letter to HUD earlier this month requesting a response no later than April 18th.

“As long as hundreds of Illinoisians’ lives are stuck in turmoil because of rash decisions that HUD fails to effectively or fully explain, I will object to every nominee Donald Trump sends our way,” said Senator Duckworth. Some of the agency’s current vacancies include the FHA commissioner, secretary of policy development and research, and the secretary for public and Indian housing.

At the root of the debate is HUD’s recent announcement to close two public housing developments in Thebes, Illinois. The agency said they do not have the funds to fix them. What most don’t know is that HUD does not directly manage public housing properties but rather relies on local housing authorities. Enter the Alexander County Housing Authority. In early 2016 allegations surfaced of…

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