An honest assessment of HECM loan volumes & consumer demand
Just where does the reverse mortgage industry stand today? Are we on the road to explosive growth, a mild recovery, or are lower loan volumes for the remainder of the year? Somewhere between extreme exuberance and pessimism lies our new reality. Since I’m going to take off my commentary hat for a moment, let us objectively review the numbers.
First consumer demand as represented by FHA case numbers issued when a borrower’s application is submitted. Overlaying FHA case number assignments for 2017 and 18 above 2018 and 19 we can see that application activity has dropped considerably. Due to the government shutdown in December 2018 the best comparisons are in the months of February through July. What is clearly seen is the real-life impact of FHA’s October 2017 reduction of principal limit factors…